Spot flows back the move. Global crypto funds pulled in $1.4 billion last week according to CoinShares, the strongest week of inflows since mid-January. Bitcoin took $1.12 billion, Ethereum $328 million, Chainlink $5 million, and Sui $2 million. XRP saw $56 million in outflows and Solana $2 million, despite both trading higher on price.

Two structural signals point the same direction. Bitcoin is now holding above the realized price of short-term holders at around $69,400 per analyst Darkfost, the level at which recent buyers are sitting on gains rather than losses, which historically reduces the odds of a cascade liquidation if sentiment reverses.

Separately, a Nomura survey found 65% of Japanese institutional investors now hold bitcoin for portfolio diversification, with 31% viewing the market outlook positively and most planning 2% to 5% allocations over the next three years.

Whether bitcoin can hold $77,000 through the European session depends on how markets price the ceasefire extension against continued Strait of Hormuz disruption.

A clean break above $80,000 would confirm the 46-day funding rate compression is flipping into a short squeeze. A reversal below $75,000 would mean the extension already priced in and the rally needs a fresh catalyst.

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The transfer effectively moves part of Li’s private trading operation into a public company where he is the largest shareholder.

What to know:

  • A Hong Kong-listed wealth manager, Bitfire Group, is acquiring crypto trading systems and staff from Avenir Group, the private investment arm of crypto billionaire Li Lin.
  • The transfer effectively moves part of Li’s private trading operation into a public company where he is the largest shareholder.
  • Bitfire plans a strategy…

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