Bitcoin short squeeze potential

While macro risks are still in place, derivatives positioning could fuel the rally higher.

Perpetual swap traders remain heavily skewed bearish, with seven-day funding rates at near three-year lows, noted Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research. At the same time, open interest continues to trend higher, suggesting fresh leverage is entering the market.

BTC price and average perp funding rates (K33)

“Rising leverage alongside deeply negative funding suggests shorts are steadily building in perps, increasing both the likelihood and potential magnitude of a short squeeze,” he wrote.

“We continue to see strong breakout potential for BTC, with concentrated shorts providing ample fuel for a move higher,” Lunde added.

The $79,000-$80,000 zone, however, carries additional weight for bitcoin. It aligns with the short-term holder realized price — a measure of the average cost basis for newer market participants, who tend to be more sensitive to volatility and more likely to sell into strength.

For now, BTC is testing that hurdle. A clean move above it could signal stronger conviction behind the rally, but failing to hold could invite renewed selling pressure and profit-taking from shorter-term holders.

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Bitcoin is seeing a short squeeze dynamic and steady U.S. demand to support gains.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin is trading higher one week after the STRC ex dividend date for the first time in six months, breaking a pattern of post payout weakness.
  • Bitcoin’s move higher is being driven by negative funding rates, triggering short covering, alongside a persistent Coinbase premium that signals continued spot demand from…

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