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Bitcoin Mean Reversion Index (CheckonChain)

Mean-reversion models suggest bearish targets imply a 0.4th percentile event, far beyond typical market corrections.

What to know:

  • A drop to $40,000 would place bitcoin in the 0.4th percentile of historical price deviations, making it one of the most statistically extreme events on record.
  • At around $78,000, bitcoin currently sits near the 31.5th percentile, indicating a historically weak, but still normal, correction range.

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