Bitcoin is up 16% in April, on pace for its first double-digit monthly gain since May 2025. Strategy bought $3.9 billion of bitcoin this month according to Bloomberg, the firm’s largest monthly accumulation in a year.

Funding rates on perpetual futures across major exchanges remain negative on a 7-day basis at -0.13% per Coinglass, meaning shorts are still paying longs to hold positions, which is the structural setup that produces a squeeze if spot can hold above the recent breakeven cluster.

The Federal Reserve and European Central Bank both have policy decisions this week, and megacap tech earnings include the four largest US companies by market cap.

Either the Fed or a single earnings beat could provide the catalyst the bitcoin tape has been missing. Without one, the third rejection from $79,000 in eight sessions starts to define the range rather than precede the breakout.

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A whale dives below the surface, leaving only its tail visible.

Long bias from the largest perpetual traders on Hyperliquid has built steadily through February, March and April, with the position now leaning aggressively long as bitcoin tags $80,000 and US-Iran talks resume.

What to know:

  • Large traders on Hyperliquid have shifted from net short to their most aggressively net-long bitcoin positioning since early March, coinciding with the coin’s climb from the mid-$60,000s to near $80,000.
  • This group of holders, which typically runs positions above $10 million, has historically led spot bitcoin moves by days or…

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