HYPE leads crypto rebound as traders position for volatility breakout
Bitcoin and ether stabilized as derivatives activity rebounded, HYPE rose for a fifth straight day and options traders positioned for a breakout.
What to know:
- Bitcoin rebounded to $77,900 and ether traded near $2,130 as crypto markets steadied alongside stronger U.S. equities and easing oil prices.
- Hyperliquid’s HYPE jumped 6.5%, extending its seven-day gain to 53%, with derivatives data signaling aggressive bullish positioning.
- Options traders are increasingly betting on a volatility breakout in bitcoin and ether while altcoin markets remain mixed, with speculative activity rising in smaller tokens.
U.S. equities snapped a three-day losing streak on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 index 1.5% higher as investors anticipated a strong earnings report from Nvidia (NVDA), which beat forecasts with record quarterly revenues of $81.62 billion.
Oil prices dipped as U.S. President Donald Trump said a peace deal with Iran was in its “final stages,” providing a boost to risk assets.
Derivatives positioning
- Crypto futures volume increased 15% to $165.7 billion, open interest rose nearly 1% to $128 billion and liquidations jumped 72% to $266 million, ending a two-day streak of declining activity.
- Hyperliquid’s HYPE token led the top 100 coins with open interest reaching the highest level since Feb. 19. Coupled with positive cumulative volume delta (CVD) and slightly positive funding, the increase suggests aggressive market-order buyers, not passive limit order buyers, are in control without yet showing signs of overheating.
- A similar bullish trend was evident in privacy coin zcash (ZEC), which has dominated daily open interest rankings throughout the week.
- DASH futures are also heating up. Open interest jumped 38% to 1.98 million tokens, but the “boom-bust” price rejection at $54, alongside negative CVD, suggests sellers are aggressively fading rallies with market orders.
- Negative CVDs in other assets like XMR, SUI, TON, HBAR, M, BNB and CC further indicate that sellers are being aggressive with market orders rather than trading passively via limit orders.
- Bitcoin’s futures market remains stagnant with open interest trapped in the 720K-750K BTC range for a seventh day. The lack of momentum is mirrored in the ether (ETH) market.
- Ether’s 30-day implied volatility dropped to a 2026 low of 53%, breaking through floor levels established in late 2024, while bitcoin’s BVIV held steady near 40%, suggesting broad calm amid macro risks.
- In the options market, a large block trade involved the sale of an XRP short straddle, representing a high-conviction bet on the token’s spot price remaining range-bound around $1.40 through late June.
- For both BTC and ETH, the strangle has emerged as the most favored options strategy on Deribit over the past 24 hours, suggesting traders are positioning for a breakout from the current low-volatility regime.
