Kendrick, who has a long-term ETH price target of $4,000 by the end of 2026 and $40,000 by 2030, said he expects the ETH-BTC ratio to climb to 0.04 by year-end from around 0.028 currently, implying ether would outperform bitcoin by more than 40% even if both assets move higher or lower.

ETH versus BTC price chart (TradingView)

This isn’t the first time Kendrick has forecasted ETH outperforming bitcoin. Earlier this year, he had a similar call, citing the passage of U.S. Clarity Act, which he said would create a regulatory framework for the sector and boost digital assets such as ETH, as it would unlock the next chapter for decentralized finance.

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum digital asset treasuries

While Strategy’s bitcoin sale has rattled the market, Kendrick argued that the significance of the transaction isn’t the $2.5 million in BTC that changed hands, but what it reveals about the different economics of bitcoin and ether treasury firms.

Strategy (MSTR) and other bitcoin treasury companies rely largely on bitcoin price appreciation and capital markets activity to support their business models. Because bitcoin does not generate yield, treasury firms may occasionally need to sell holdings or raise capital to cover expenses and obligations.

Read more: Strategy sparked panic with bitcoin sale, but analysts say it was ‘immaterial’

Meanwhile, ETH can be staked to earn yield, currently around 3% annualized, providing a source of income without requiring firms to liquidate assets.

For example, Tom Lee’s Bitmine (BMNR), the largest Ethereum treasury, amassed a $11 billion ETH stash without issuing any debt. While that bet is deeply underwater, the firm estimates its staking operations generate roughly $258 million in annualized revenue, with projected rewards approaching $300 million annually through its MAVAN staking platform.

Kendrick argued that staking income makes ether treasury companies more self-sustaining than their bitcoin-focused peers. While Ethereum treasury firms such as Bitmine and SharpLink Gaming (SBET) currently trade at lower premiums than Strategy (MSTR), he expects investors to reward them for generating recurring income from their holdings, helping close that valuation gap over time.

Read more: Saylor’s Strategy sold bitcoin for the first time since 2022. These firms are still buying

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