Others questioned why investors continue to treat Hayes’ market calls as actionable signals.

Crypto trader TraderSZ, who has more than 683,000 followers on X, noted that Hayes had recently argued HYPE could be among the year’s best-performing assets before announcing the sale.

One of crypto’s biggest winners

Hyperliquid and its token, HYPE, have been standout performers over the past few weeks as the broader crypto market remained under pressure.

As bitcoin fell back to near its 2026 lows at $60,000, HYPE notched fresh all-time highs and remains up 166% year-to-date even with Thursday’s decline.

The project operates a blockchain-based onchain perpetual futures exchange, allowing users to trade cryptocurrencies and other assets through a transparent order book rather than relying on a centralized venue.

The platform has rapidly gained market share, clearing around $40 billion in weekly perp volume and $1 billion in spot assets, and has emerged as one of the closely monitored venues for weekend commodity prices and pre-IPO stocks.

Hyperliquid weekly trading volumes (DefiLlama)

HYPE rally got overheated

But the 100% gain in a month put the move overextended from the project’s fundamentals, noted Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research.

In a report earlier this week, Thieled said Hyperliquid remained “one of the most impressive businesses in crypto,” citing its roughly 77% gross margins, fully onchain trading infrastructure and token buyback program funded by protocol revenue.

At recent highs near $75, HYPE traded at roughly 25 times projected fee revenue, near the richest levels seen over the past year, according to Thielen. Meanwhile, protocol revenue remains well below its peak, and a large token unlock scheduled for June could introduce additional selling pressure.

“We have been vocal HYPE bulls,” Thielen wrote. “But at current prices, the risk-reward has shifted.”

The long-term bull case is still compelling, he said. If trading activity recovers toward previous highs and new products attract more users, HYPE could eventually justify significantly higher prices.

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