That leaves the SPCX perp as one of the few places where a SpaceX-linked price is actually moving before the stock opens.

The contract does not give holders shares, allocation rights or any claim on SpaceX. It is a cash-settled derivative that lets traders bet on where the company’s equity value should trade. Unlike an IPO indication of interest, traders in the perp have money at risk and can lose it before the first share changes hands.

The official book still looks huge. Reuters reported that SpaceX has drawn more than $250 billion in investor interest for a $75 billion raise, making the deal several times oversubscribed. Large investors often ask for more stock than they expect to receive, especially in hot deals.

SPCX’s prices suggest traders still expect a premium to the $135 offer.

That may partly reflect broader market pressure. Crypto has weakened into the IPO, and bitcoin remains well below its January high. Some investors may also be raising cash to fund SpaceX allocations, adding pressure to the same risk market where SPCX trades.

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