Mystery Polymarket trader turned $4 million into $9 million after Spain’s shocking World Cup draw
A days-old account turned about $4 million into a $9 million profit betting against Spain, an anomaly trade that on-chain sleuths are asking whether it was luck or inside information.
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Summary
- World Cup debutant Cabo Verde held tournament favorite and European champions Spain to a 0-0 draw.
- The upset produced one of Polymarket’s wildest swings, as a new wallet called “fishalive” turned about $4 million into roughly $9 million in profit by betting Spain would not win and Cabo Verde would stay within 2.5 goals.
- Another Polymarket trader, “betoor619,” lost nearly $1 million backing a Spain victory for a potential gain of only about $85,000, underscoring both the risks of heavy favorites and the scrutiny on anonymous, on-chain betting.

