Bitcoin post-halving gains lag prior cycles

Bitcoin is up around 15% since the April 2024 halving, rising from roughly $64,000 to just under $75,000. Previously reached an all time high of around $126,000 in October 2025 before falling roughly 50% to $60,000 in early February.
However, it has underperformed previous cycles over the same post-halving period, continuing the trend of diminishing returns, according to Glassnode data.

This is largely expected as bitcoin matures, with greater adoption and a larger market cap requiring more capital to drive outsized gains. As a result, volatility is declining each cycle and price action is becoming more gradual compared to earlier cycles.

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BTC/USD (CoinDesk Data)

Bitcoin price approaches $75,000 level with $200 million in shorts at risk of liquidation, rising open interest and shifting volatility dynamics in focus.

What to know:

  • Roughly $200 million in short positions could be liquidated if bitcoin crosses above $75,500, potentially accelerating a breakout.
  • Open interest in bitcoin and ether futures has surged alongside positive funding rates and buying pressure.
  • Implied volatility has stopped falling even as prices rise, raising questions about the sustainability of the…

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