Perpetual futures, also known as “perps,” are a type of derivative contract that give traders the ability to bet on prices of assets such as oil or bitcoin. But unlike traditional futures, perps never expire, so traders don’t have to take possession of physical barrels of oil or roll over those contracts.

Most perpetual products are offered on offshore exchanges and are not regulated the same way traditional commodity exchanges such as ICE and CME Group Inc. are in the U.S., but Michael Selig, the chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), recently said he will bring them under his agency’s oversight soon.

In a sign of the increasing confluence of crypto and traditional financial (TradFi) firms, ICE and OKX signed a deal in March to build technology, including blockchain networks, that would give ICE’s customers access to crypto-based futures and OKX customers the ability to trade tokenized securities on NYSE’s platform. ICE also made a strategic investment valuing the San Jose, California-based company at $25 billion.

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Bubblemaps CEO and Founder Nicolas Vaiman. (Bubblemaps)

Bubblemaps investigators led by Nicolas Vaiman, discovered 80 bets on Polymarket with a 98% win rate that he said is statistically impossible to achieve.

What to know:

  • Analysts at Bubblemaps say a cluster of 80 highly accurate bets on U.S. military actions against Iran on the Polymarket platform are so precise that “luck alone cannot explain” the results.
  • Bubblemaps’ CEO warns that adversaries could mine prediction markets for clues to U.S. war plans, turning them into tools…

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