Polymarket traders cut Clarity Act passage odds to record low as Senate delay drags on
Polymarket bettors have cut the odds of the CLARITY Act passing this year to a record low as Senate negotiations over ethics provisions remain unresolved.
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Summary
- Polymarket now gives the Clarity Act a 32% chance of passing by year-end, its lowest level since the market launched in January.
- Senate negotiations remain focused on winning Democratic support, with a bipartisan ethics provision emerging as the bill’s biggest obstacle.
- Industry executives urged Congress to pass the legislation, arguing that clear SEC and CFTC jurisdiction would reduce regulatory uncertainty and bring crypto activity onshore.
