In letters sent Friday to Polymarket’s Shayne Coplan and Kalshi’s Tarek Mansour, Comer demanded clarity on how the platforms handle identity verification, enforce geographic restrictions and flag anomalous trading activity.

Prediction markets, which surged in popularity in recent years, have drawn scrutiny from federal and state lawmakers and regulators, who worry the platforms are ripe for exploitation by bad actors with national security clearances.

Prediction market volumes could peak to roughly $1 trillion by 2030, as the sector evolves from niche wagering into broad-based “information markets” spanning sports, crypto, politics and the economy, according to a Wall Street broker Bernstein report in April. Volumes hit $51 billion last year and could reach about $240 billion in 2026.

The House probe follows a heated U.S. Senate Commerce Committee hearing on Wednesday, where lawmakers from both parties heavily scrutinized prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Crypto.com. Senate Commerce Chair Ted Cruz (R-Texas) blasted the industry for enabling cheating scandals across major sports leagues, warning that the opportunity to profit on event contracts tempts athletes and officials to manipulate outcomes. Meanwhile, Senator John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.) accused the firms’ aggressive social media marketing of “preying on our young people” and fostering problem gambling.

Nicolas Vaiman, co-founder and CEO of onchain intelligence layer Bubblemaps, expressed deep concern over the national security implications of a new wave of insider trading in an interview with CoinDesk.

He warned that if those observing the predictions markets can spot irregular trades, so can enemies of the United States. He and his team found 80 bets on Polymarket with a 98% win rate, which he said is statistically impossible to achieve. “Not even luck can explain those wins.”

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Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket (CoinDesk/Jesse Hamilton)

Mike Eidlin, head of Japan at cryptocurrency exchange Jupiter, is leading Polymarket’s efforts, according to reports.

What to know:

  • Polymarket is set to lobby for authorization of prediction markets in Japan.
  • The prediction market platform has appointed a representative in the country and is aiming for government approval by 2030.
  • Polymarket has been under pressure to expand its reach into other major markets as legal scrutiny has hampered its…

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