But for now, markets seem to be looking past it, said Jasper de Maere, OTC trader at Wintermute.

“The equities and crypto markets seem to have stopped caring about intricate headlines on the conflict’s direction,” de Maere. “This shows a certain level of fatigue and potentially complacency.”

He noted that strong corporate earnings and resilient equity markets are helping offset concerns about higher energy costs and geopolitical risks.

FOMC test coming

In that environment, bitcoin is hovering near the top of its trading range while the $79,000 level proved the be mighty cap with traders taking profits.

That level “matters structurally because heavy institutional overhead supply sits just above it,” said Adam Haeems, head of asset management at Tesseract Group.

Whether BTC can break through will depend on what drives the move and who’s doing the buying. Moves driven mainly by short covering tend to fade once momentum cools, while a breakout backed by sustained institutional demand can mark a more durable shift, he said.

The next test comes soon with the April Fed meeting that could determine whether the current rally holds, Haeems said.

If ETF inflows continue through that event, he said, $79,000 could turn from resistance into support, opening the door for a higher trading range. If flows fade, bitcoin may slip back into the $75,000–$77,000 range.

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BTC/USD (CoinDesk Data)

BTC holds a tight range as open interest drops, signaling cooling momentum, while altcoins show mixed performance and ZEC attracts fresh bullish interest.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin futures open interest fell over 6% in 24 hours, pointing to leverage unwinding as prices stalled below $80,000.
  • Derivatives data shows rising bearish positioning, with negative funding rates and persistent demand for downside protection in options markets.
  • Zcash stands out with rising open interest and volume, while broader altcoin…

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