The market is starting to price in potential winners as stablecoin yield compromise opens path for passing key U.S. digital asset regulation, one analyst said.
The market is starting to price in potential winners as stablecoin yield compromise opens path for passing key U.S. digital asset regulation, one analyst said.
Jeremy Allaire, Co-Founder, Chairman and CEO, Circle Speaks at Hong Kong Fintech Week in 2024 (HK Fintech Week)
What to know:
Crypto stocks gained Monday across the board as bitcoin topping $80,000 boosts sector.
Stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) surged 18% as compromise about stablecoin yield spurs optimism in passing key crypto legislation.
Equity markets begun to pick “potential winners,” with Circle seen as beneficiary of clearer rules, 10x Research founder Markus Thielen said.
Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate bitcoin holder, crypto-friendly digital broker Robinhood (HOOD) and Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm Bitmine (BMNR) were also up 3%-4%, underscoring the broad-market advance.
The move came as bitcoin BTC$80,254.47 pushed above $80,000 during the session, reaching its strongest level since late January and providing a tailwind for the broader crypto sector. BTC advanced nearly 2% over the past 24 hours, leading the broader crypto benchmark CoinDesk 20 Index’s 1.2% gain.
Further boosting investor optimism were signs that the long-debated Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, a key piece of U.S. legislation to regulate crypto markets, is moving closer to passage.
A newly released compromise would prohibit stablecoin issuers from offering yield on idle balances, while still allowing rewards tied to usage and transaction activity, according to a Friday text. The approach addresses one of the most contentious aspects of the bill and aligns with earlier discussions in Washington.
Clarity Act progress
That clarification appears to be a pivotal moment that brings the bill closer to passage, according to Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research.
“The latest compromise removes one of the final obstacles for the legislation,” said Thielen in a Telegram message. With the stablecoin yield issue addressed, lawmakers are expected to move toward a formal markup, potentially as soon as this week, he added.
Odds of passage on the prediction platform Polymarket have risen to 64%, reflecting growing confidence that the bill will advance.
Polymarket odds of Clarity Act passing this year (Polymarket)
With that, “equity markets are beginning to price in potential winners,” Thielen said.
Circle, as a regulated stablecoin issuer, is widely seen as a potential beneficiary of clearer rules, particularly if stablecoins are formally positioned as payment tools rather than yield-bearing assets, he said.
The firm’s upcoming earnings, due next week, adds another layer of momentum for the stock, Thielen noted.
After releasing last quarter’s report in February, Circle’s shares surged around 100% in the following weeks, and investors may have started to position for further gains ahead of earnings.
Families holding decades-old judgments against North Korea are trying to seize 30,765 ETH frozen after last month’s rsETH exploit, citing alleged links between the attack and DPRK-linked hacking groups such as Lazarus, and invoking a New York restraining notice that could block Arbitrum from releasing the funds.
What to know:
A lawyer representing victims of North Korean terrorism has served Arbitrum DAO with a New York restraining notice, seeking to block the release of 30,765 ETH frozen after the rsETH exploit by claiming it is DPRK-linked property.
The filing names Arbitrum DAO as a garnishee in three federal enforcement actions…