The macro backdrop drove the cautious tone. US Central Command confirmed strikes on missile launch sites in Iran and boats attempting to place mines in the Strait of Hormuz, describing the action as defensive.

Brent crude rose almost 2% to $98 a barrel, bouncing back from Monday’s 7% slump when London and New York were closed for holidays. The dollar strengthened against all G-10 peers, gold pulled back 0.6% to $4,545, and S&P 500 futures held a 0.6% gain after Monday’s US market closure.

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Enflux says “the bid is there” but no one is adding size, while Glassnode data shows easing selling pressure alongside weaker market activity.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin is trading in a tight range around $76,500, with muted activity as traders wait for a clear macroeconomic catalyst.
  • Prediction markets see a solid chance that bitcoin holds above $74,000 and ends the week above $76,000, reflecting expectations for stability rather than a sharp move in either direction.
  • Analysts…

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