Prediction markets are facing challenges outside the U.S. and in the past week have been banned in countries including Indonesia, Spain and India.

The U.S. government is conducting a probe into prediction markets, with a House of Representatives committee investigation being confirmed last week.

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White House at night (Credit: Tabrez Syed on Unsplash/Modified by CoinDesk)

The proposal could shape how Kalshi, Polymarket, and other event-contract platforms operate as states challenge the CFTC’s authority.

What to know:

  • The White House’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs has begun reviewing a proposed CFTC rule on prediction markets, a key step in the federal regulatory process.
  • The move signals the CFTC is advancing toward a broader federal framework for event contracts, including those tied to elections, gaming and sports,…

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